James Carville, a veteran Democratic strategist, is warning Democrats against pursuing a third impeachment of President Donald Trump if the party wins control of the House of Representatives in November.
According to Carville, impeachment would be a waste of time and energy, and Democrats should instead focus on investigating the president.
“Al and James are right. To paraphrase James, it’s a simple math issue, stupid. Unless something truly unimaginable [happens], there will not be 67 votes in the Senate to convict. And the public is not there, either,” — Turrentine, per Fox News
Will Impeachment Succeed?
Carville noted that impeachment would be highly unlikely to succeed, citing the need for 67 votes in the Senate to convict.
Unless something truly unimaginable happens, there will not be 67 votes in the Senate to convict, Carville argued.
This is because the Senate has consistently shown that it is not willing to convict a president, even when there is overwhelming evidence of wrongdoing.
For example, during the impeachment trial of President Bill Clinton in 1998, the Senate voted to acquit him on both charges, with 55 votes in favor of conviction and 45 against.
Similarly, during the impeachment trial of President Andrew Johnson in 1868, the Senate voted to acquit him on both charges, with 35 votes in favor of conviction and 19 against.
These examples demonstrate that the Senate has a history of being reluctant to convict a president, and it is unlikely that this trend will change anytime soon.
What Does the Public Think?
The public is not in favor of impeaching Trump, Carville pointed out.
A recent poll conducted by Gallup found that only 42% of Americans support impeaching Trump, while 55% oppose it.
This lack of public support for impeachment is a significant obstacle for Democrats, as it suggests that they will face significant opposition from the public if they pursue impeachment.
Investigations can take a while and build a case, but impeachment would be a waste of time and energy, Carville said.
This is because impeachment is a lengthy and complex process that requires a significant amount of time and resources.
It also requires a significant amount of public support, which is lacking in this case.
Can the Supreme Court Intervene?
The Supreme Court is protecting Trump from the consequences of his actions, Carville noted.
This means that impeachment would be even less likely to succeed, as the Supreme Court would likely block any attempts to hold Trump accountable.
The Supreme Court has a history of being reluctant to intervene in matters of impeachment, and it is unlikely that it will do so in this case.
What's Next for Democrats?
Carville's warning comes as Democrats are considering their strategy for the upcoming election.
Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: impeachment would be a waste of time and energy for Democrats.
